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Archive for July 23rd, 2017

23 July
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传阅:突然“脆断”现象与逻辑

郭建龙

01

我的研究课题之一,是总结世界上国家转型成功或失败的经验教训。

由于最近几年最大的教训来自于中东的阿拉伯革命,所以我对该地区进行过较为深入的访问学习,但学习的结果却让部分人士失望。

我的结论是:在缺乏成熟反对派的地方实行革命,即便能够推翻原政府,也很难建立另一个稳定政权,很可能会陷入到混乱之中。 Read more…