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26 November
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传阅:在第九届财新峰会上的演讲

央行研究局局长 徐忠

一、短期需求管理与结构性改革不能混为一谈

2015年以来,我们根据形势的变化,推进了供给侧结构性改革,作为中长期政策举措,“三去一降一补”工作取得了明显成效:过剩产能逐步化解、房地产库存有序下降、宏观杠杆率企稳、综合成本稳步降低、重要领域和关键环节补短板取得突破,重大风险点得到有效控制和化解。
近期,中国经济内外部压力有所增大。外部看,中美贸易摩擦的负面影响逐步显现,中美经济周期分化加剧了外部环境的不确定性;内部看,经济下行压力有所加大,一些风险点逐渐显现。如何稳定预期,稳定国内总需求,以国内确定性应对外部不确定性,需要抓住中国经济的主要矛盾,平衡好短期需求管理与结构性改革的关系。当前需要以改革的思路进行需求管理,有效的需求管理也是为深入推进供给侧结构性改革营造适宜的环境。 Read more…