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Archive for August, 2022

17 August
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传阅:战争何以可能

韩明睿

以交战的后果作为比较基准,需要承担的这些代价就是和平议价的空间,理论上在博弈中总能由各方切分,让每一方最后的结果都好于开战的选项。用大白话来说,和平红利这块蛋糕永远会有,大家都能有份,没必要掀桌子。

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14 August
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传阅:唐朝的财政系统有病

郭建龙

唐朝的财政系统继承自隋代,而隋代的财政系统又部分来自之前的西魏和北周。在这份传承的遗产中,最重要的社会和经济制度(也是不同于其他朝代的制度)是均田制。均田制是一种土地公有制形式。

在中国历史上,出现过三段持续的财政制度周期。第一次从秦汉开始,延续到三国、两晋,并结束于南朝。到了南朝逐渐衰落时,北方的游牧民族将军事劫掠式财政过渡到了定居式财政,并在北魏时由于文成文明太后和孝文帝的改革而得以固定下来,之后传给了东、西魏,再由隋唐所继承。

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11 August
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传阅:从三亚到海口:一个上海中产家庭的“逃亡之旅”

@费里尼

K小姐姓甚名谁我不打算知道,也请求她不要告诉我。我请她挑选一个英文字母作为以下故事女主角的代号时,她选了K。

离开上海已经8天。在今天往前推的72小时里,她一家从三亚到海口,经历了两次狼奔豕突的“未遂逃亡”,目前依然被困海南。

K小姐讲:我气啊,我搿能一个头子活络的上海女人,跑不过朝令夕改的FY政策。

我要回家。

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08 August
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传阅:理想爆雷时,请记住湖边一件美好的事

李承鹏

这天深夜,潘小刚忽然在一个很小的群里告诉我,他润了,此时正在飞往枫叶国的航班上,独自带着12岁的女儿。他说此事已悄悄操作了一年多,谁也没通知、没透露,就是默默准备……直到飞机起飞离开祖国时,才跟大家做一场最后的告别。为此,他专门买了全程的WIFI。

​潘小刚是个沉默的中年人,一开口却如同惊雷。

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05 August
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传阅:一个也许能让叶文洁改变主意的故事

押沙龙

吴阿萍事件里,有一个引人注目的细节,就是她不仅供奉了几位日本战犯的牌位,也供奉了美国传教士魏特琳。

那么今天就来说说魏特琳这个人。

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02 August
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传阅:俄乌战争:全球新冷战阴影下的局部热战

成朝庭

导言

2022年2月24日,俄罗斯军队从北东南三个方向大举进攻乌克兰。目前战争已经进入第五个月,双方互有攻防,战场胶着。俄军在东部顿巴斯地区缓慢而稳步推进,但乌军却酝酿在南部发动大规模反攻。形势扑朔迷离,如何理解世界格局与这场战争的复杂互动?如何从历史的纵深把握未来的趋势?这是摆在所有关心时局的人们面前的重大问题。

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