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26 September
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大饥荒与流动性

大饥荒的最高潮,仁慈的周总理给茅台酒厂特批了几千吨粮食,党和政府向东欧出口了粮食草料,还拒绝了苏联的延缓建议(有前苏联解密档案为证),提前归还了欠苏外债,然后向国民广泛宣传“苏修逼债”,必须勒紧裤腰带。
这个政府,可以的。

如果拿银行打比方,这家银行遇到了流动性风险,资金周转困难,它怎么应对呢?它不去融资,而是冻结了所有柜员工资,同时居然投资了一家会所,居然还在发放贷款,居然还提前归还了客户存款……当然,关于这场流动性风险是怎么会发生的,就是一个更有趣的故事啦。

昨天王老师把资金比作粮食,拿流动性风险来比喻所谓“三年自然灾害”,结果许多同学来问流动性风险是怎么产生的,这么说吧:一、这家银行鼓励柜员拉存款,分理处主任们互相攀比,最后演变为客户存款五百块,资产负债表上按照十三万入账(不信的话,请移步去查1958年9月18日《人民日报》《广西环江县飞出水稻亩产十三万斤大卫星》,当时还有按三十万入账的呢);二、存款要缴存准备金,十三万按20%计算,就是两万六,与实际吸收存款之间的差额两万五千五,用分理处历年结余垫付;三、取消柜员的私有财产,与分理处库存现金混在一起公用。既然有钱大家花,自然花得越多越好;五、很快,柜员们手里都没钱了,银行的资金也空了,流动性危机爆发;六、当然,分理处主任们是不会饿死的。干部总是可以靠国家供给滋润地活下去,那几年里女人能生娃的都是干部家庭。
 
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